Country of birth and expectations of the U.S. election

Historical material. Dates, proposals and invitations refer to the time of the original publication.

Russian-speaking Israelis have positive expectations from the victory of Republicans in the US presidential election in connection with issues of Israel foreign policy, its economic situation, national security, relations with Arab countries, and the Israel-Arab conflict. Repatriates from other countries take a similar position, unlike native Israelis, whose positive expectations from the United States prevail over negative ones, regardless of who comes to power.

It is possible to assume a weak preference for Democrats among native Israelis, which follows from their answers regarding the influence of the US elections on economic situation in Israel and relations with Arab countries. Non-native Israelis who are not repatriates from the former USSR countries (others) in most cases prefer the victory of Republicans even more than Russian-speaking Israelis. The exception is estimates of the prospects for the US presidential election influence only on relations with China and Russia, which are not very different among respondents belonging to different groups by country of birth.

The influence of the US election on economic situation in Israel:

Economic situation

The influence of the US presidential election on Israel foreign policy independence, its ability to influence world politics and defend its interests:

Foreign policy independence

The field of national security is among the few fields where there is some consensus on the desirability of a Republican candidate winning in the US election. This is stated by 25-35% of respondents in all groups, and the same about the candidate from Democrats victory reports 14-24% of respondents. Repatriates from the former USSR countries are more likely than others fear a decrease in national security if a Democratic candidate wins the US elections (26% versus 15-17% in other groups).

The influence of the US election on Israel national security:

National security

The influence of the US election on relations between Israel and Arab countries:

Relations with Arab countries

Russian-speaking repatriates are significantly more likely than others (31% versus 20-23% in other groups) note negative consequences for Israel-Palestinian relations if a Democratic candidate win in the United States, and less often — positive consequences of a Democratic candidate winning (15% versus 20% in other groups).

The influence of the US election on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict: (Table 20)

Israeli–Palestinian conflict

The influence of the US election on relations between Israel and China:

Relations with China

The influence of the US election on relations between Israel and Russia:

Relations with Russia

The peculiarity in the answers of Russian-speaking Israelis regarding the influence of the US presidential elections on socio-political situation is that only 4% of them pointed out the possible negative consequences of Republican coming to power, and 20% — of Democratic coming to power. No other group has such a difference between the proportions of responses relating to the negative consequences of Democratic president coming in or the one from Republicans. In addition, in other groups, 12-15% of respondents note negative consequences of the victory of Democratic candidate, while 20% of repatriates from the former USSR countries not the same. They less often than others talk about the positive consequences of a Democratic victory (11% versus 17-18% in other groups).

The influence of the US election on socio-political tensions in Israel:

Socio-political tensions

In the question regarding the US presidential elections influence on Israel foreign policy, Russian-speaking repatriates are less often than others talk about the positive effect of the victory of Democratic candidate (11% versus 21-24% in other groups), and more often about the negative effect of this event (22% versus 14% -20% in other groups).

The influence of the US presidential election on Israel foreign policy:

Israeli foreign policy

The influence of the US election on Israel position on the Russian-Ukrainian conflict:

Position on the Russia–Ukraine conflict

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