Türkiye, Russia, and the Internal Fracture: Expert Survey

What Experts Think About Israel’s Security in 2026

February 2026 began with a statement that barely registered in the Israeli press. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan told CNN Türk that his country would “inevitably be forced to enter the nuclear race.” At the same time, the United States was completing its troop withdrawal from Syria. Kurdish autonomy in the north of the country had been dismantled. And after Israel recognized Somaliland’s independence, Türkiye expanded its military presence in the Horn of Africa.

All of this unfolded against the backdrop of a society fracturing from within and a relationship with Washington that had become increasingly difficult to read.

The Dor-Moriah policy center conducted an expert survey of fourteen specialists — political scientists, historians, economists, military analysts, lawyers, journalists, sociologists, and religious figures — each of whom answered five questions about Israel’s security independently. Their political views span the full range, from left-liberal to right-wing religious nationalist.

What This Report Is About

This is neither an academic monograph nor an intelligence brief. It is a cross-section of expert opinion as it actually stands — rigorous, contested, and unfiltered. The experts disagree where the issues are genuinely disputed, and converge where the facts leave little room for argument.

The report is intended for anyone who wants to understand what Israel’s security environment actually looks like in 2026 — not through any single ideological lens, but through the friction of genuinely informed disagreement.


Dor-Moriah is an independent policy center based in Haifa, specializing in human development, political identity, and regional security.