How could the absence of the organization Hamas on the geopolitical stage impact the implementation of the Abraham Accords?
As known, the Abraham Accords, named after the patriarch Abraham, whose faith is present in the three major Abrahamic religions – Judaism, Christianity, and Islam, constitute a series of agreements for the normalization of relations between Israel and Arab states (UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, Sudan, Egypt), signed in 2020-2021. The accords envision mutual opening of embassies, direct flights, and the development of bilateral relations in all spheres.
The majority of respondents believe that neutralizing the influence of the Hamas organization will have a positive impact on the implementation of the Abraham Accords. «Only positively. It will strengthen cooperation both between Palestinians and Israel and with other countries in the region.» «Hamas is a radical organization with the ideology of political Islam and Pan-Arabism, which directly contradicts the ideology and narrative of the State of Israel. Its hypothetical absence would contribute to the realization of the ‘Abraham Accords’.» However, due to the war provoked by Hamas, «…the implementation will be temporarily delayed. The speed of recovery will depend on the government of Israel (current and future).»
«Other Middle Eastern Arab countries may join the Abraham Accord. Perhaps the agreement will be expanded to include European countries with Abrahamic religions. Perhaps this agreement will lead to the creation of an Abraham Union, similar to the SCO or BRICS.»
«On a positive note, the absence of Hamas could remove an obstacle to peace and normalization in the Middle East. Its absence might reduce regional tension and facilitate the deepening of diplomatic relations for countries participating in the Abraham Accords. Furthermore, a more stable and peaceful situation in the Palestinian territories without the influence of Hamas could instill confidence in the peace process. This could encourage more countries in the region to participate in diplomatic efforts and negotiations, potentially benefiting from the Abraham Accords.»
However, a negative scenario is also proposed: «The disappearance of Hamas could lead to opposition from radical elements within the Palestinians who reject the Accords and their consequences. This could potentially undermine the peace process and normalization of relations. While Fatah and Hamas have a history of tension and power struggles, there is broad consensus among most Palestinians that the Abraham Accords are detrimental and undermine the Palestinian cause.»