The overwhelming majority of respondents (in the amount of 82%) believe that the results of the United States presidential elections will definitely or rather affect the situation in Israel.
The difference in answers regarding the dependence of the situation in Israel on the US presidential elections results is not large among secular and in varying degrees religious Jews, it is often within the boundaries of statistical error (on average 82.3%) and the values of answers “will affect” fundamentally higher than among the Arab population of Israel (70%).
The US election results influence on the situation in Israel / by ethno-religious affiliation
| Will affect | Will not affect | Do not know | Total | ||
| 1 | Secular Jew | 87% | 9% | 4% | 100% |
| 2 | Observing traditions | 84% | 11% | 5% | 100% |
| 3 | Religious Jew | 78% | 14% | 8% | 100% |
| 4 | Ultra-religious | 80% | 12% | 8% | 100% |
| 5 | Arab | 70% | 15% | 15% | 100% |
Repatriates from the former USSR countries are more often than others convinced of the influence of the US presidential elections results on the situation in Israel, and less often of others of the absence of such influence.
In political preferences the far left in this matter significantly differ from others, less often than others pointing to the US presidential election influence on Israel, and more often to the absence of such influence.
The US election results influence on the situation in Israel / by country of birth and political preference
| Country of birth | Will affect | Will not affect | Do not know | Total |
| Native Israelite | 82% | 12% | 6% | 100% |
| Territory of the former USSR | 86% | 5% | 9% | 100% |
| Other | 68% | 15% | 17% | 100% |
| Political preference | ||||
| Far right | 81% | 12% | 7% | 100% |
| Morally right | 83% | 13% | 4% | 100% |
| Center | 85% | 9% | 6% | 100% |
| Moderately left | 89% | 5% | 6% | 100% |
| Far left | 75% | 18% | 7% | 100% |
It should be noted that there is no significant difference in the proportion of responses regarding the rise to power of Democratic or Republican candidates. For example, 28% of respondents expect a positive impact on the Israel economy if Democrats win, and if Republicans – 24%; negative – 14% and 13%, respectively. And this situation is observed in all spheres of Israel life.
In addition, in most cases, positive expectations from the United States influence on the situation in Israel exceed negative, regardless of whether we are talking about a candidate from the Republican or Democratic Party.
Thus, 52% of respondents expect a positive effect on the Israel economy from the coming in the United States to power of either of a candidate, and almost 2 times less (27%) expect a negative effect.
We interpret these facts as the Israelis belief in the US-Israel relations stability.
What, in your opinion, economic effect will have Israel (foreign investment in Israel economy, joint projects, etc.) from coming to power of a candidate from the Democratic or Republican Party as a result of the presidential elections in the United States? (Table 7)
| Will win | Positive | Negative | Both | Will not affect | Do not know | Total | |
| 1 | Democratic Party | 28% | 14% | 24% | 8% | 26% | 100% |
| 2 | Republican Party | 24% | 13% | 28% | 8% | 27% | 100% |
We observe similar patterns in responses regarding the impact of the US presidential election results on Israel foreign policy independence and national security, as well as on relations with Arab countries.
The interesting fact is that the positive effect of the Republican victory is greater in the areas of “Israel foreign policy independence and Israel national security”. These are areas that, among other things, characterize the sovereignty of a particular country.
How do you think a victory of Democratic or Republican candidate in a US presidential election will affect Israel foreign policy independence (its ability to influence world politics and defend its interests)?
| Will win | Positive | Negative | Both | Will not affect | Do not know | Total | |
| 1 | Democratic Party | 23% | 18% | 24% | 9% | 26% | 100% |
| 2 | Republican Party | 25% | 13% | 27% | 9% | 26% | 100% |
How do you think a victory of Democratic or Republican candidate in a US presidential election will affect the Israel national security?
| Will win | Positive | Negative | Will not affect | Both | Do not know | Total | |
| 1 | Democratic Party | 24% | 16% | 15% | 22% | 23% | 100% |
| 2 | Republican Party | 26% | 11% | 14% | 24% | 25% | 100% |
How do you think a victory of Democratic or Republican candidate in a US presidential election will affect the relations between Israel and Arab countries?
| Will win | Positive | Negative | Will not affect | Both | Do not know | Total | |
| 1 | Democratic Party | 28% | 14% | 11% | 23% | 24% | 100% |
| 2 | Republican Party | 26% | 15% | 10% | 25% | 24% | 100% |
Regarding the elections influence on the Israel-Palestinian conflict negative expectations of Democrats victory significantly exceed negative expectations of a Republican candidate winning (21% of a Democrats victory and 16% of a Republicans victory). The majority of the responses (25-28%) characterize the expectation of partly positive or of partly negative influence. Positive expectations from any US election result are equal (20% each).
How do you think a victory of Democratic or Republican candidate in a US presidential election will affect the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?
| Will win | Positive | Negative | Will not affect | Both | Do not know | Total | |
| 1 | Democratic Party | 20% | 21% | 12% | 25% | 24% | 100% |
| 2 | Republican Party | 20% | 16% | 13% | 28% | 24% | 100% |
In the context of development of relations with China the data show the predominance of negative expectations over positive ones (a total of 30% of the first group versus 21% of the second group). And the most common answer regarding the US presidential elections influence on this sphere of Israel relations “will not affect“. The same applies to relations with Russia. The difference in expectations if a Democratic or Republican candidate takes office is almost absent. However, the sum of the positive expectations share in both cases is significantly lower than negative (22% versus 33%), although answers about the Israel policy independence from the US elections results (20%) prevail.
The victory of a particular candidate in the US presidential election will not affect socio-political tensions in Israel either.
So, we repeat that the changes in relations with the states listed in the poll are little connected with the coming to power president in the United States from one party or another.
How do you think a victory of Democratic or Republican candidate in a US presidential election will affect relations between Israel and China?
| Will win | Positive | Negative | Will not affect | Both | Do not know | Total | |
| 1 | Democratic Party | 12% | 14% | 21% | 18% | 35% | 100% |
| 2 | Republican Party | 9% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 36% | 100% |
How do you think a victory of Democratic or Republican candidate in a US presidential election will affect relations between Israel and China? (Table 12) in a US presidential election will affect relations between Israel and Russia?
| Will win | Positive | Negative | Will not affect | Both | Do not know | Total | |
| 1 | Democratic Party | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 32% | 100% |
| 2 | Republican Party | 10% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 32% | 100% |
How do you think a victory of Democratic or Republican candidate in a US presidential election will affect socio-political tensions in Israel (continuous protests, conflicts between secular and religious sectors, etc.)?
| Will win | Positive | Negative | Will not affect | Both | Do not know | Total | |
| 1 | Democratic Party | 17% | 15% | 28% | 17% | 23% | 100% |
| 2 | Republican Party | 12% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 24% | 100% |
How do you think a victory of Democratic or Republican candidate in a US presidential election will affect or not Israel position on the Russian-Ukrainian conflict?
| Will win | Positive | Negative | Will not affect | Both | Do not know | Total | |
| 1 | Democratic Party | 12% | 10% | 27% | 18% | 33% | 100% |
| 2 | Republican Party | 9% | 11% | 26% | 20% | 34% | 100% |