1. According to the general opinion of those interviewed, the conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and between Israel and the Gaza Strip have little in common, except for the significant role of the United States in both cases. Both situations fall within the interests of the United States, and, furthermore, are being utilized by the Democratic Party in the lead-up to the 2024 presidential elections for political purposes, including manipulation of Congress members.
2. Undoubtedly, it is not in Israel’s interest to bundle American aid to Israel with aid to Ukraine, as it slows down the bill’s passage in the House and Senate.
3. U.S. military aid has different consequences for Ukraine and Israel. For Israel, it serves as a deterrent to the involvement of other potential participants in a war against Israel and contributes to a quicker resolution of the conflict with subsequent positive prospects for Israel’s recovery and development. Some experts have expressed the opinion that similar assistance to Ukraine may act as a factor prolonging the war. It has also been noted that the continuation of the war leads to a catastrophic deterioration in the forecasts regarding post-war economic and demographic perspectives for Ukraine as a state.
4. For the reasons mentioned above, Israel is not interested in the continuation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Additionally, positions are expressed that the Russia-Ukraine conflict diverts the attention of “Western partners” from the issue of resolving the situation in the Middle East, hindering the development of economic and cultural cooperation between Global South countries and “Collective West” countries, including limiting these opportunities for Israel.
On the other hand, since a Russian defeat in the war with Ukraine is unlikely, the swift resolution of the Ukrainian conflict is evidently contrary to Israel’s interests. A Russian victory would mean its strengthening near Israeli borders. Furthermore, “against the backdrop of military actions in Eastern Ukraine, military operations against Hamas appear less destructive,” and the “Palestinian-Israeli conflict seems almost like peaceful coexistence.” Additionally, Russophobia in Europe, associated with Russia’s war with Ukraine, may serve as a factor somewhat inhibiting the rise of anti-Semitism.